{"id":15842,"date":"2021-01-28T17:15:00","date_gmt":"2021-01-28T08:15:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/gooddo.jp\/magazine\/?p=15842"},"modified":"2021-01-28T17:15:00","modified_gmt":"2021-01-28T08:15:00","slug":"post-15842","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gooddo.jp\/magazine\/climate-change\/global_warming\/15842\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u898b\u3066\u307f\u3088\u3046"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3084\u771f\u590f\u65e5\u30fb\u731b\u6691\u65e5\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u306a\u3069\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u3092\u542b\u307f\u4e16\u754c\u5168\u4f53\u306e\u6e29\u5ea6\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306f\u9032\u884c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u306e\u751f\u6d3b\u306b\u3082\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u4eca\u5f8c\u9032\u884c\u3057\u7d9a\u3051\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u51fa\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u8a18\u4e8b\u3067\u306f\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p style =\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gooddo.jp\/magazine\/climate-change\/global_warming\/\">\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u30e1\u30ab\u30cb\u30ba\u30e0\u3084\u539f\u56e0\u3001\u73fe\u72b6\u306f\uff1f\u79c1\u305f\u3061\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3084\u3059\u3050\u306b\u3067\u304d\u308b\u5bfe\u7b56\u3082\u89e3\u8aac<\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"borderBox01\">\r\n<img class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7735\" src=\"https:\/\/gooddo.jp\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/gooddo_logo_fix-600x238.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"106\" height=\"43\" \/>\r\n\r\n<p><center><strong>\u5e74\u9593\u7d0450\u4e07\u4eba\u304c\u53c2\u52a0\u3001<br>\r\n\u7d2f\u8a08\uff12\u5104\u5186\u306e\u652f\u63f4\u91d1\u984d\u3092\u9054\u6210\uff01<\/strong><\/center><\/p>\r\n<p>\u300c\u3061\u3087\u3063\u3068\u3044\u3044\u660e\u65e5\u3065\u304f\u308a\u300d\u306b\u6311\u6226\u3059\u308b\u79c1\u305f\u3061gooddo\u3068\u4e00\u7dd2\u306b\u3001\u307e\u305a\u306f\u7121\u6599\u3067\u793e\u4f1a\u652f\u63f4\u3092\u3057\u3066\u307f\u307e\u305b\u3093\u304b\uff1f<\/p>\r\n\r\n<div class=\"square_btn\"><a onclick=\"gtag('event', 'climate-change', {'event_category':'global_warming', 'c':location.href.split('')[1].split('&')[0]+'_1'});\" href=\"https:\/\/gooddo.jp\/nf\/questionpart-greenpeace-202007-ver6\/?from=gooddo_mg_202007\">\u30a2\u30f3\u30b1\u30fc\u30c8\u306b\u7b54\u3048\u3066\u652f\u63f4\u3059\u308b<\/a><\/div>\r\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u7121\u6599\u652f\u63f4\u306f\u3001\u300c<span class=\"markerYellow\">\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u306a\u3069\u306e\u554f\u984c\u304b\u3089\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u7f8e\u3057\u3044\u81ea\u7136\u3092\u5b88\u308b\u305f\u3081<\/span>\u300d\u6d3b\u52d5\u3092\u3057\u3066\u3044\u308b\u300c<strong><span class=\"textRed\">\u56fd\u969b\u74b0\u5883NGO\u30b0\u30ea\u30fc\u30f3\u30d4\u30fc\u30b9\u30fb\u30b8\u30e3\u30d1\u30f3<\/span><\/strong>\u300d\u306b10\u5186\u306e\u652f\u63f4\u91d1\u3068\u3057\u3066\u8d08\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\n<h2>\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u306f<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/gooddo.jp\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/shutterstock_310773080-min.jpg\" alt=\"\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u3068\u306f\" width=\"1200\" height=\"628\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-12548\" \/><br \/>\n\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u304c\u9032\u307f\u7d9a\u3051\u3066\u3044\u308b\u4e16\u754c\u3067\u306f\u3001<span class=\"markerYellow\">\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u5404\u5730\u3067\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/span><br \/>\n\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u3082\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u308b\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u304b\u3089\u3001\u707d\u5bb3\u306e\u983b\u5ea6\u3084\u88ab\u5bb3\u306e\u5897\u52a0\u306a\u3069\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u304c\u898b\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3053\u306e\u307e\u307e\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u304c\u9032\u884c\u3057\u305f\u5834\u5408\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u304c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3057\u3087\u3046\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u3059\u308b\u524d\u306b<span class=\"markerYellow\">RCP\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa<\/span>\u3092\u7406\u89e3\u3057\u3066\u304a\u304d\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<br \/>\nRCP\u3068\u306f\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u30ac\u30b9\u306e\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u306a\u6fc3\u5ea6\u7d4c\u8def\uff08Representative Concentration Pathways\uff09\u306e\u3053\u3068\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u7684\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u6fc3\u5ea6\u306b\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u3067\u304d\u308b\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u304cRCP\u6fc3\u5ea6\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u3053\u306eRCP\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306f2013\u5e74\u306bIPCC\u304c\u7b2c5\u6b21\u8a55\u4fa1\u5831\u544a\u66f8\u3067\u6271\u3046\u6a5f\u69cb\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u7528\u3044\u308b\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3068\u3057\u30662007\u5e74\u306b\u63d0\u793a\u3055\u308c\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u306e\u524d\u8eab\u3068\u3057\u3066<span class=\"markerYellow\">SRES\uff08\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u30ac\u30b9\u306e\u6392\u51fa\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306b\u95a2\u3059\u308b\u7279\u5225\u5831\u544a\u66f8\uff1aSpecial Report on Emissions Scenarios\uff09<\/span>\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3082\u306e\u3082\u5b58\u5728\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002RCP\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3067\u306f\u793e\u4f1a\u30fb\u7d4c\u6e08\u7684\u306a\u5c06\u6765\u50cf\u3092\u4eee\u5b9a\u305b\u305a\u3001\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u308b\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u30ac\u30b9\u306e\u69d8\u3005\u306a\u653e\u5c04\u5f37\u5236\u529b\u306e\u7d4c\u8def\u306e\u306a\u304b\u304b\u3089\u4ee3\u8868\u7684\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3092\u9078\u3073\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306b\u57fa\u3065\u3044\u305f\u6c17\u5019\u3092\u4e88\u6e2c\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308a\u3001\u4f4e\u4f4d\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u3068\u3057\u3066\u6c17\u6e29\u4e0a\u6607\u30922\u2103\u306b\u6291\u3048\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u305f\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304cRCP2.6\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u307e\u305f\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u306a\u7de9\u548c\u3092\u884c\u308f\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u3092\u60f3\u5b9a\u3057\u305f<span class=\"markerYellow\">\u9ad8\u4f4d\u53c2\u7167\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304cRCP8.5<\/span>\u3001\u305d\u306e\u9593\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3059\u308b<span class=\"markerYellow\">\u4e2d\u4f4d\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304cRCP4.5<\/span>\u3084<span class=\"markerYellow\">\u9ad8\u4f4d\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u306eRCP6.0<\/span>\u3067\u3042\u308a\u3001\u3053\u308c\u30894\u3064\u306e\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304c\u6e96\u5099\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<div class=\"borderBox01\">\n<li>\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u3067\u51fa\u3066\u3044\u308b<\/li>\n<li>\u5c06\u6765\u7684\u306b\u3069\u306e\u3088\u3046\u306a\u6fc3\u5ea6\u306b\u5b89\u5b9a\u5316\u3067\u304d\u308b\u304b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u3092RCP\u6fc3\u5ea6\u3068\u8a00\u3046<\/li>\n<\/div>\n<p><font size=\"2\">\uff08\u51fa\u5178\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.data.jma.go.jp\/cpdinfo\/climate_change\/2014\/pdf\/2014_2-1.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c17\u8c61\u5e81<\/a>\u300c\u7b2c2\u7ae0\u3000\u7570\u5e38\u6c17\u8c61\u3068\u6c17\u5019\u5909\u52d5\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u306e\u898b\u901a\u3057\u300d\uff09<\/font><\/p>\n<h2>\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u304b\u3089\u5206\u304b\u308b\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306b\u3088\u308b\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u5f71\u97ff<\/h2>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/gooddo.jp\/magazine\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/shutterstock_41872237-min.jpg\" alt=\"\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u304b\u3089\u5206\u304b\u308b\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306b\u3088\u308b\u4eca\u5f8c\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\" width=\"1200\" height=\"627\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-15843\" \/><br \/>\n\u6b21\u306b\u3001\u5730\u7403\u6e29\u6696\u5316\u306e\u5c06\u6765\u4e88\u6e2c\u3092\u7d39\u4ecb\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u4e0a\u6607<\/h3>\n<p>2013\u5e74\u306b\u516c\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305fIPCC\u7b2c5\u6b21\u8a55\u4fa1\u5831\u544a\u306b\u3088\u308c\u3070\u3001\u52b9\u679c\u7684\u306a\u5bfe\u7b56\u3092\u884c\u308f\u306a\u304b\u3063\u305f\u5834\u5408\u3001<span class=\"markerYellow\">2081\u5e74\u304b\u30892100\u5e74\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u306e\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u306f2.6\uff5e4.8\u2103\u4e0a\u6607<\/span>\u3059\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u307e\u305f\u3001\u5bfe\u7b56\u3092\u884c\u3063\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u306f\u9032\u884c\u3057\u30010.3\uff5e1.7\u2103\u7a0b\u5ea6\u306f\u4e0a\u6607\u3057\u3066\u3057\u307e\u3046\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\nRCP\u30b7\u30ca\u30ea\u30aa\u304c2.6\u304b\u30898.0\u3067\u6e96\u5099\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u306f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u3089\u306e\u4e88\u6e2c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3053\u308c\u3092\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u5909\u5316\u306b\u7740\u76ee\u3057\u3066\u898b\u3066\u307f\u307e\u3057\u3087\u3046\u3002<br \/>\n\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306f\u6e29\u5ba4\u52b9\u679c\u30ac\u30b9\u306e\u6392\u51fa\u91cf\u304c\u5927\u304d\u3044\u307b\u3069\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u91cf\u306f\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308a\u3001\u5317\u65e5\u672c\u3067\u306f\u5e74\u306b\u3088\u3063\u30666.0\u2103\u307b\u3069\u9ad8\u304f\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u6307\u6458\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n1984\uff5e2004\u5e74\u3068\u6bd4\u3079\u305f2080\uff5e2100\u5e74\u306e\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u3067\u898b\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5168\u56fd\u7684\u306bRCP2.6\u30671.1\u2103\u3001RCP8.5\u30674.4\u2103\u3082\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u304c\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u305d\u306e\u9593\u306b\u3042\u308bRCP4.5\u3067\u30822.0\u2103\u3001RCP6.0\u30672.6\u2103\u306e\u5e74\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u7279\u306b\u5927\u304d\u306a\u4e0a\u6607\u3092\u898b\u305b\u308b\u306e\u304c\u5317\u65e5\u672c\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u5074\u3067\u3059\u3002<br \/>\n\u3053\u306e\u5730\u57df\u3067\u306f\u3001RCP2.0\u30671.2\u2103\u3001RCP4.5\u30672.3\u2103\u3001RCP6.0\u30672.8\u2103\u3001RCP8.5\u30674.9\u2103\u3068\u3044\u305a\u308c\u3082\u5168\u56fd\u5e73\u5747\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308b\u3082\u306e\u3068\u4e88\u6e2c\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304a\u308a\u3001\u305d\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3082\u5927\u304d\u304f\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n<h4>\u771f\u590f\u65e5\u3084\u731b\u6691\u65e5\u306e\u5897\u52a0<\/h4>\n<p>\u5e73\u5747\u6c17\u6e29\u304c\u4e0a\u6607\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306f\u3001\u590f\u5b63\u306b\u767a\u751f\u3059\u308b\u771f\u590f\u65e5\u3084\u731b\u6691\u65e5\u304c\u5897\u52a0\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<br 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